Last minute Oscar predictions!

It seems to me that lately The Oscars have gained a lot of ground through the movies that they nominate. Apparently, the Oscars’ day in February is becoming a big day even for average Joe(s) around the world. That’s what I call TRADITION. Well done, dear Academy! 🙂

Speaking of, let’s discuss a little bit about the movies that entered the big race this year. We’ll concentrate on the categories that arouse more interest. Personally, I’m quite surprised and happy for the indie films and directors that made it there (e.g. Two Days, One Night), but some of the viewers might misinterpret the indie message (Birdman has this kind of a message) and get the wrong idea about the film in question. Still, it is comforting to see that there’s a inclination towards this genre.

The Academy Award for the Best Picture this year will most certainly go to Boyhood. Like I said before, there was much ado about Boyhood and at a second thought you will realise that 12 years of work deserve at least an Oscar althought the result wasn’t as great as many expected. Birdman could also win this award. Actually, this is super duper extra close if you ask me, but to my mind, The Academy will probably give the Best Picture to Boyhood and the Best Achievement in Directing will be Iñárritu’s. Altough Alejandro Gonzáles Iñárritu is one of my favorite directors and with Birdman he managed to impress me once again, my secret crush this year is Whiplash, but there are weak chances that it will win. By the way, check this Damien Chazelle guy. He’s 30 and he’s about to have a grand film career. Concerning the other nominees, I find The Grand Budapest Hotel visually appealing, American Sniper disappointing and the other three are very well done biographies. The stories are actually rich in useful general knowledge information.

The Best Actor in a Leading Role this year will be Eddie Redmayne. I’m 95% sure. I don’t particularly have a thing for this guy; he actually looks quite annoying sometimes, but his performance was absolutely amazing. It reminded me of Daniel Day-Lewis in My Left Foot: The Story of Christy Brown who also won an Oscar for this role. I don’t know if Eddie actually resembles Stephen Hawking or he was just THAT good, but the body decay was beautifully performed! Michael Keaton could also win this award but it is less likely. Eddie Redmayne’s opponent in this category is definitely Steve Carell, but since Foxcatcher is more the indie type than the commercial one, I don’t think that The Academy would risk giving the award to Carell so the actual fight is given between Redmayne and Keaton. Back to Steve Carell, it is needless to say that his role is the most surprising and astonishing one this year. The funny guy proves us wrong and does drama in a mind blowing way. There’s no doubt: Carell totally nailed this one! Too bad he won’t get the Oscar.steve carell Julianne Moore will probably be the Best Actress in a Leading Role in 2015. She had quite a year with Still Alice and Maps to the Stars. The next in line for this award are Reese Witherspoon (Wild) and Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl), but Marion Cotillard undoubtedly deserves it. She was absolutely natural and startling in Two Days, One Night, but I’m surprised that she was even nominated given the fact that Two Days, One Night is more a Cannes type movie. 2days 1night The most interesting category this year is Best actor in a Supporting Role. And when I say interesting, I say it because The Academy’s choice intersects with mine and most probably everybody else’s. Shall we name him all at once? Come on! One, two… three: J.K. Simmons! That’s right! After a long-lasting career, this dude shows us the right tempo and proves that he could’ve easily played Kubrick‘s Gunnery Sergeant Hartman. Edward Norton could also win the award but… naaah!

In the beginning, I had some doubts about the Best Actress in a Supporting Role, but now I’m sure that we are talking about Patricia Arquette in Boyhood. She wasn’t controversial but since there are no notable performances in this category, she must be it and she is most certainly followed by Emma Stone in Birdman.

I’ll quickly go through some of the other categories and tell a long story short.

The screenplay awards are both very tight and interesting races, but The Best Original Screenplay probably belongs to Wes Anderson and Hugo Guinness with their Grand Budapest Hotel and The Best Adapted Screenplay should be Damien Chazelle’s. There are very good stories in these categories and I personally believe that The Immitation Game deserves some recognition too, but I’ll stick to my crush for the moment: Whiplash.

Best Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Best Documentary Feature: Citizenfour, no doubt! I mean, aren’t we talking about the controversial Edward Snowden? This documentary must win The Oscar.

The Best Foreign-Language Film of 2015 will most probably be Ida which is, technically speaking, perfect! There is no filling frame in this movie. To my mind, Ida could’ve easily been a silent movie. The beauty lays in the (apparent) simplicity of the image. The actors are well chosen and the setting is amazing. This movie is a masterpiece, a bless to our eyes and it is closely followed by Leviathan, the Russian drama whose action is largely developed at a psihological level.ida5 Best Film Editing: Whiplash or The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki with Birdman (he has already one Oscar for Gravity) closely followed by Ida.

Best Visual Effects: Interstellar. It’s a must!

Best Make-up and Hairstyling: This is a tight race between The Grand Budapest Hotel and Foxcatcher, but I think The Academy will go with The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Best Costume Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Best Original Song: Glory- Selma

Best Original Score: Hans Zimmer is responsable for Interstellar’s feeling. I get goosebumps everytime I listen to its soundtrack, but I have big doubts concerning this category. Alexandre Desplat might be the lucky one.

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Will Richard Linklater’s “Boyhood” get an Oscar nomination?

Yeah, I guess so and I’m pretty pissed about it because it is very possible that this movie will get the nomination that Interstellar deserved. As many of you may have realized, lately, the Oscar for the best motion picture tends to go to more realistic movies. Oh, yes, cry, baby, cry, but it is in vain! So wipe your tears ’cause Christoper Nolan won’t get his Oscar anytime soon. So let’s discuss a little bit about Boyhood, shall we? ‘Cause after all it is a pretty good movie although it steals Interstellar’s place through its realistic tone.

Filmed over 12 years with the same cast, Richard Linklater‘s Boyhood is a groundbreaking story of growing up as seen through the eyes of a child named Mason, who literally grows up on screen before our eyes. Starring Ethan Hawke and Patricia Arquette as Mason‘s parents and Lorelei Linklater, (the director’s daughter), as his sister Samantha, Boyhood charts the rocky terrain of childhood and adolescence like only a few films had done before.

Olivia (Patricia Arquette) is a struggling, single mom living in small town in Texas trying to orient boyfriends to the fact that she has obligations and responsibilities they just don’t really understand. Mason Sr. (Ethan Hawke) is an absentee father who hasn’t seen his kids in a year, taking off to Alaska to clear his head after the break-up, though he’s trying to make up for lost time and stay involved in the lives of his kids.

I personally believe that this movie deserves to be called a masterpiece simply for the great effort that has been made during these 12 years while the movie was filmed and put together in a whole. Basically, the director managed to condense a lifetime in 2 hours and 45 minutes. Isn’t that amazing, or what? Also, I believe that as a creator, is pretty difficult to maintain the same artistic pulse for so many years because, as many argue, you are a different person every day so it is hard to uniformly build something.

On the other hand, Boyhood has some weak spots too. What I didn’t like about this movie was the sometimes bad playing and here I am talking about Lorelei Linklater who had a second-rate performance using unnatural reactions. She indeed got better with the age, but not good enough unlike her colleague, Ellar Coltrane, who had a breakthrough performance.

Me neither, Mr. Capote! Okay, yes, Boyhood is indeed a good movie, but not THAT good. I really don’t think it deserves an Oscar nomination.

Also, an interesting aspect about this movie, is that the action is flat. The picture begins funny and playful in the early years of Mason, but it then tends to pick up banal spots from his life and the average viewer might get bored. The cumulative result of Boyhood is, however, stunning for a specialized cinephile because the beauty lays in the simplicity and the authenticity of the action.

We all get those nostalgic flashbacks when, in the end, we realize that Mason has grown to be a thoughtful, deep-thinking teenager, don’t we? That’s certaintly a proof that this film has achieved its purpose, but I believe that the director could have used some other bigger moments from Mason’s life – especially in adolescence – moments that would’ve emotionally shook the viewer more.

Richard Linklater’s Boyhood is a marvelous life journey and I think that it represents the perfect time capsule for the future generations. As a movie, it is a remarkable accomplishment sprinkled with patience and hard work that will probably win many prizes although it doesn’t deserve them all.

Meanwhile, we gotta wait and see how the other movies are. And I’m talking about those that will probably enter the Oscar race.

P.S. : It’s been said that Ellar Coltrane might get an Oscar nomination too. I don’t think I mind that much. The kid worked really hard for this movie but he doesn’t deserve the nomination. They sould consider nominating Jake Gyllenhaal instead.